The Secret To Selecting Value Bets

Sometimes things that seem simple and normal have names in specialized jargon that we can’t even imagine, and too often borrowed from English. For example, when comparing two products in the supermarket before buying them, those who know about marketing call it benchmarking, and what you and I popularly know is how to spread the word about something, they tend to call it a viral campaign. When we bet, this also happens. It turns out that most of us, without suspecting it, apply most of the time strategies based on value bets. This is what you do when betting on football if, after seeing the odds, you consider putting a few dollars to the tie between UD Levante and CD Getafe or when live, you think it is almost impossible for Rayo to overcome Celta after starting losing; you turn on the tablet and see that your bookie pays crazy for that result. If you open the position based on the odds and odds, you will be making value bets.

The Problem Of Comparing Two Different Sports Competitions

A bet has more or less value depending on the relationship between its associated odds. We are interested in carrying out those in which the real probability we estimate is as high as possible with respect to that implied in the quota just as it is in 토토사이트. Posts to choose between two different parties with the same share of 4 and therefore an implicit 25%, we will opt before to put our capital in a result that we believe will happen 30% of the time in another that will happen on 26 % of the occasions. There is no doubt that the first case is more interesting, more valuable than the second.

Now, suppose the dilemma raised is between these two options:

  • A victory at home of RCD Espanyol over Villarreal, with quota 4 and estimated real probability of a favorable end to the parakeets of 30%
  • A win at the home of Valencia CF over Sevilla CF, with odds 2 and expected probability of 55%